“We always overestimate the change that will occur in the next two years and underestimate the change that will occur in the next ten. Don’t let yourself be lulled into inaction.”

– Bill Gates, former CEO of Microsoft

Companies with advanced Strategic Foresight (SF) capabilities are, on average, 33% more profitable than their more “myopic” competitors. Yet, most companies (~70%) don’t invest enough in SF capabilities while others (~25%) overreact and become “neurotic.” Only ~5% of all companies have the optimal SF capabilities required by the complexity and volatility of their business environment. Why is that? The root causes range from the inherent difficulty of identifying weak signals to organizational inertia and cognitive biases against the new and unfamiliar.

Arbalète provides three distinct service offerings for improving Strategic Foresight capabilities: